Friday, December 11, 2009

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"A" IN ITALY: ANALYSIS OF NEW REPORT FOR THE WEEK 49 INFLUNET


Influnet The surveillance system allows estimation of the week's start, duration and intensity of the epidemic influenza

• the estimated new cases of influenza-like illness in 49 weeks are 224,000, for a total of 3,650,000 cases since the beginning of the surveillance Influnet (43 weeks: 19-25 October)

• the total value of the impact of influenza-like illness is equal to 3.73 cases per thousand , a sharp decline than the value observed in the previous week (6.68 cases per thousand).

the age group most affected is always pediatric (0-14 years) , with an incidence of 8.52 cases per thousand (9.63 per thousand in the range of children children of 0-4 years and 7.94 per thousand in the range 5-14 years). There is a decline in the incidence in each age group, although more pronounced in pediatric fields in which the incidence has almost halved.

The number of accesses relating to the emergency room monitors is in line with expected developments . In

49th week (November 30 to December 6) in fact has further reduced the number of people have turned to the emergency room for acute respiratory syndrome (5.4% ) and, of these, 26% were hospitalized .

Compared to recent weeks, the number remains fairly constant of people for whom it was necessary to be admitted among those who went to the emergency room for acute respiratory syndrome.

The figure above shows the number of accesses and hospitalizations for acute respiratory syndrome ready to soccorsomonitorati and the incidence of influenza-like illness for week .

Each week the data are compared with the baseline calculated from the model, which allows you to assess trends and possible warning thresholds are exceeded.

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