Monday, December 14, 2009

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CONTAGIATO 1 AMERICANO SU 6 - INTERVISTA A THOMAS FRIEDEN, DIRETTORE DEL CDC DI ATLANTA


Talk Dr. . Thomas R. Frieden, a Democrat appointed by President Barack Obama 16 ° director of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Atlanta (USA), one of the most influential institutions in the health field.

Dr. Frieden, laueratosi at Columbia University, he specialized in infectious diseases at the Yale University .

" Today, we know an update on estimates of infections, hospital admissions and, unfortunately, deaths caused by influenza virus A (H1N1) 2009 in the United States of America .

data providing you are last updated on November 14. The fundamental point that emerges from the data that is compared with the normal flu, the H1N1 has been ill, hospitalized and killed, many more children and young adults than not to happen during regular influenza epidemics , affecting more ' hard over 65 . The recent update

Flu View "showed that the 'current wave pandemic in the United States is downturn. What will happen after him to be able to reveal only the future .

We are faced with an ambiguous future . The flu season generally lasts until May. When asked about what will happen in the country in the coming months we will see half of the experts say, in the country and around the world, to a significant increase in cases of infection during the year, and the other half of the experts claims that will not happen. The truth is that we do not know what will happen . Only time will answer our questions.

What I can say is what has happened so far : we estimate that in the Unina may be calculated approximately 50,000,000
cases of infection, most of them children and young adults .

I hospitalization have been, until now, 200,000, a number comparable level recorded during the entire epidemic seasons spent ( therefore much higher than normal if we consider that the flu season is just beginning ). Unfortunately , far, we have approximately 10,000 deaths, 1,100 of which in children and young adults between 7500 .

What these numbers mean the p otremo easily calculate: the 15% of the entire U.S. population is infected with the influenza virus A (H1N1) 2009 , namely : un cittadino su 6 si è fino ad ora ammalato .

C'è una parte consistente della popolazione non immune che si potrà ancora ammalare nei prossimi mesi, ma non siamo attualmente in grado di fornire previsioni attendibili, vista l'estrema variabilità del virus ed il diverso modo di colpire all'interno di comunità e delle singole città."

Sebbene i numeri espressi dal dottor Thomas R. Frieden si riferiscano esclusivamente agli Stati Uniti d'America, possiamo confermare che anche in Europa e nella stessa Italia il virus pare non "impattare" in modo omogeneo su tutto il territorio rendendo estremamente difficoltoso to prepare an estimate for the future , however, many European and Italian experts agree in considering very likely the arrival in January of the next pandemic wave .

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